Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.501420 2.661084 2.830346 3.023934 3.240209 3.475554 3.752607
2026-01-04 2.202246 2.413520 2.649007 2.933621 3.272022 3.666438 4.168508
2026-01-11 2.054907 2.296611 2.575220 2.925113 3.360272 3.894455 4.618080
2026-01-18 1.974795 2.243639 2.562504 2.976572 3.512820 4.203724 5.198243
2026-01-25 2.058619 2.388776 2.795197 3.347178 4.103357 5.148327 6.799047
2026-02-01 1.916464 2.242074 2.648773 3.211152 3.999623 5.122304 6.971237
2026-02-08 1.784707 2.100428 2.499014 3.057576 3.854479 5.015515 6.991440
2026-02-15 1.712382 2.030686 2.438068 3.018909 3.866801 5.140667 7.408791
2026-02-22 1.635859 1.951326 2.359377 2.949098 3.825759 5.176028 7.672472
2026-03-01 1.557032 1.865363 2.267334 2.854191 3.738709 5.127423 7.772319
2026-03-08 1.474955 1.771992 2.161223 2.733254 3.603288 4.986776 7.675223
2026-03-15 1.441224 1.741759 2.139866 2.733277 3.653690 5.158697 8.217991
2026-03-22 1.395030 1.697651 2.103657 2.719104 3.696524 5.350655 8.912152
2026-03-29 1.330982 1.627377 2.028513 2.643696 3.637038 5.360032 9.231506
2026-04-05 1.293790 1.591964 2.000281 2.636483 3.687561 5.575085 10.089143
2026-04-12 1.274748 1.580508 2.005198 2.679849 3.826656 5.979485 11.578279
2026-04-19 1.329958 1.675543 2.170238 2.989845 4.474890 7.569993 17.594202
2026-04-26 1.269771 1.602593 2.080648 2.876529 4.329486 7.396864 17.627789
2026-05-03 1.209118 1.527189 1.984709 2.747950 4.145746 7.112775 17.134908
2026-05-10 1.176168 1.491016 1.947067 2.715466 4.144897 7.262569 18.498249
2026-05-17 1.138680 1.447003 1.895679 2.656707 4.087467 7.266720 19.266086
2026-05-24 1.097947 1.397105 1.833559 2.576588 3.981741 7.136928 19.366561
2026-05-31 1.053609 1.340880 1.760107 2.474094 3.825186 6.862444 18.669524